Wednesday, February 27, 2019

It's Not Over Yet



David Mayhew’s positions reelection as the main goal of every office holder in the government. All other goals are simply proximate, and assist in achieving the overall goal. Three of these actions taken include advertising, credit claiming, and position taking.


Advertising

Mayhew states that the most common use of simple advertising by politicians is to gain or maintain favorable name recognition. DeFazio, having had 16 terms in office, is not in great need of simple advertisements. He has made a name for himself and created a consistent image for his constituents to look to. He does, however, hold several townhall meetings a year throughout his district. While he does update his constituents on what he is doing in Washington, these meetings serve as his main avenue for advertising. He is face-to-face with his constituents. Therefore, they remember his name and face, as well as get to know him as a person rather than a corrupt politician.


Credit Claiming

Credit claiming, as described by Mayhew, is not simply taking credit for an action completed, it is portraying yourself as instrumental to the completion of that action. This is DeFazio’s most widely used tactic. Having the seniority he has built, and now being a part of the majority in the House, DeFazio has taken influential action in his role.
Most congressmen and congresswomen use franking as a way to gain name recognition, especially in their early years. As they are in office longer, they often create newsletters to send to their constituents. With DeFazio’s high levels of franking, he uses such newsletters as a way of claiming credit for getting things done in Congress. In almost every newsletter, DeFazio mentions a bill he has introduced recently, which shows both that he himself is making strides towards progress, and that those strides would not be taken without him.
With an increase in social media use to reach voters, franking is on the decline, but Twitter has had a major uptake. Similar to how he used franking privileges, DeFazio’s Twitter feed is constructed of several retweets of his accomplishments. As DeFazio is now chairman of the Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure, he is often mentioned as being instrumental to passing bills, and he loves to retweet his accomplishments. Nevertheless, having the level of power he has earned through his dedication to Congress, he deserves to brag every once in a while.


Position Taking

Position taking is taking and defending a stance on any issue that may be of interest to political actors. Though like not as influential as credit claiming, position taking is essential to reelection by showing congruence with constituents. DeFazio is strong in taking positions on issues that arise, and he stands by those positions even if they go against party lines. In interviews with candidates running for office, DeFazio is not only strong in his own position, but he is also strong in acknowledging why it is better than his opponents, making it seem like he is taking the best position there is.
In order to take action and not wait for news sources to ask for interviews, DeFazio has created several press releases. Much of this media outreach is used for credit claiming, but there are also several press releases that simply detail support and applause for actions the House has taken, or disapproval of actions President Trump has taken.


Having been a member of the House since 1987, and only attempting to move to the Senate in a special election, it is clear that DeFazio aligns perfectly with Mayhew’s claim that reelection is the overall goal for politicians. While constantly campaigning by reaching proximate goals may seem exhausting, DeFazio will continue seeking reelection, because for him, it’s not over yet.

Friday, February 22, 2019

DeFazio Strikes Again...and Again...and Again



Last Election

In the 2018 midterm election, DeFazio beat his opponent, Art Robinson, for the fifth time. Taking a majority of the votes, DeFazio largely holds the support he has received in past years.

Primaries Outlook

In the Democratic primary election, DeFazio defeated his opponent, Daniel Arcangel, with just over 92% of the vote. As a well-liked incumbent that has been in the House since 1987, it was not surprising he defeat a political newcomer. Robinson won the Republican primary, but only with 46% of the vote. Two other Republican candidates each received about 20% of the vote. For DeFazio, both of these outcomes looked promising.

General Election Outlook

Based on a strong primary victory and Robinson not winning by a large margin, it would seem a given DeFazio would win the general election. DeFazio took 56% of the vote, slightly more than in the 2016 election, but less than the 2014 and 2012 elections. Robinson, who has been his opponent in all of these general elections, took 41% of the votes—his highest percentage against DeFazio. Other parties took about 3% of the vote.
The only other time DeFazio took a lower percentage of the votes was the first time he ran against Robinson in 2010, where he took just under 55% of the votes. Prior to running against Robinson, DeFazio had won up to 86% of the vote (1990) with no Republican opponent, and from 60-75% of the vote when facing a Republican candidate. While DeFazio has won the past several election, the declining margin of victory should be noted.


Current Prediction

Seeing as DeFazio is a career politician, he has name recognition and the incumbency advantage, yet he is continuously facing an opponent who is putting up a fighting chance to take his seat. Despite this competition, I see it favorable that DeFazio will continue to win back his seat for as long as he continues to run, but only by a small majority.

Campaign Finance Status

In the 2018 election, DeFazio ran his campaign purely on money he had received from donations, not spending a dime of his own money. He raised roughly $1.8 million from companies and PACs like Berkshire Hathaway and Delta Airlines, only spending $1.4 million. DeFazio raised less than the average raised by other House members, but spent just under the average amount spent. On the surface, this may make him seem corrupt, but his voters know him to give excess money from his own paycheck to his scholarship foundation to help college students. Here is the breakdown of his 2018 campaign finance:

Small Individual Contributions (< $200)$303,76117.00%
Large Individual Contributions$438,40924.53%
PAC Contributions*$1,044,92058.47%


Major Issues

DeFazio is known to be a strong advocate for higher education reform, funding programs relating to the environment, is pro-choice, wants to decrease government spending, and largely supports international aid over intervention. Having been in the House for over thirty years, he has not had to portray his stance on issues as much in recent elections, other than issues relevant to that specific election. His focus instead, as in the 2018 election, is running contrary to corrupt politicians/President Trump, and advocating for the Democratic Party.



2016 vote

In 2016, DeFazio received over 50% of the vote, but came out with his third-lowest percentage of votes during his career. His district was more in favor of Clinton for president, maintaining their status as a democratic district in all races.

Sunday, February 17, 2019

May the Fourth (District of Oregon) Be With You



         Overview of the District

Oregon’s Fourth Congressional District has a population of 803,611 people and is largely admired for its coastal region. The most well-known cities in this district are Eugene and Springfield, the 3rd and 9th largest cities in Oregon, respectively. With these cities included, the district is 69.17% urban and 30.83% rural.
The complete demographic make-up of Oregon as a whole leads the state to be slightly more liberal. While Oregon’s Fourth Congressional District generally follows this trend, they supported Trump over Clinton in the 2016 campaign. This is likely due to the increase in division between rural and urban communities. Despite this occurrence, the district has had a democratic representative since 1975 and is considered slightly more liberal than conservative.

         Demographics

  • Male: 396, 450 (49.3%)
  • Female: 407,161 (50.7%)

  • 0-24 Years: 244,387 (30.4%)
  • 25-49 Years: 240,343 (29.9%)
  • 50-74 Years: 252,168 (31.4%)
  • 75 and over: 66,713 (8.3%)

  • White: 709,844 (88.3%)
  • Black/African-American: 5,902 (0.7%)
  • Asian: 20,490 (2.5%)
  • Latino/Hispanic: 64,360 (8.0%)

Religion (in Oregon)
  • Christian: 61% (43% Protestant, 12% Catholic)
  • Non-Christian: 7%
  • Non-Religious: 31%

         Major Industries (in Oregon)

The major industries in Oregon include natural resource industries, manufacturing, and clean technology industries.
·       The natural resources industries in Oregon focus on agriculture, forestry and fisheries. The number of workers in these areas has remained steady over the past decade, decreasing only slightly some years, and remains as one of the most prominent industries in Oregon’s focus. With the natural resources they have, they also use this area as a way to increase tourism.
·       Manufacturing is essential to the state as over ten percent of jobs in Oregon are from manufacturing, with many of the companies having fewer than 20 employees. The industry has grown in the past ten years due to the increased variance of products manufactured.
·       Clean technology is a newer industry in Oregon, which has increased due to investments to create jobs. There are now workers in all 36 counties who focus on improving green energy sources and technology.

Thursday, February 14, 2019

Peter DeFazio: Profile

Peter DeFazio (D-OR 4th District)

(1987-Present)

Biographical Information

Born: May 27, 1947 (currently 71 years old) in Needham, MA
Residence: Springfield, Oregon
Education: MS in Gerontology, University of Oregon, 1977; BA in Economics/Political Science, Tufts University, 1969
Family: Married to Myrnie Daut DeFazio
Religious Affiliation: Roman Catholic

Career and Political Experience: 

While working on his Bachelor's Degree, DeFazio joined the United States Air Force Reserve, where he served from 1967-1971. Upon completing his degree, DeFazio worked as an aide for U.S. Representative Jim Weaver. He was elected as a Lane County Commissioner in 1983, serving as chairman from 1985 to 1986. In 1987, DeFazio was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives, and has been re-elected in every election since then. With 32 years in the position so far, DeFazio is Oregon's longest-serving congressional member. In 1995, Oregon Senator Bob Packwood resigned, calling for a special election. DeFazio ran for the Senate, but lost to the current senator, Ron Wyden. 

Leadership Roles, Committee and Subcommittee Assignments:

  • Transportation & Infrastructure Committee (1987-present)
    • DeFazio has served as Chairman or Ranking Member of four of the six subcommittees: Aviation, Coast Guard and Maritime Transportation, Highways and Transit, and Water Resources and Environment. 
    • Having been on the Transportation & Infrastructure Committee since entering Congress, DeFazio was elected Chairman of the committee in 2019. 
  • Natural Resources Committee (2011-2014)
    • Subcommittee on National Parks, Forests and Public Lands
    • Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources

Issue Stances

DeFazio has repeatedly voted in favor of and co-sponsored bills supporting diverse citizens and non-citizens and fixing problems related to the environment and drug crises. He has voted against numerous bills supporting the expansion of the military and tax cuts. While he is not in support of all the issues listed, he has a strong stance either for or against these issues, taking a liberal stance a vast majority of the time.

Interest Group Ratings

The Americans for Democratic Actions and the National Committee for an Effective Congress have given DeFazio approval ratings over 80% for every year he has been in office. This indicates he is well-liked by major liberal interest groups. He has also received high ratings from interest groups concerned with infrastructure, and many groups concerned with higher education. 

Fun Fact

DeFazio owns a tree farm in Oregon.

Sources